5:00–6:15 p.m.

Thinking in Bets: Making Smarter Decisions When You Don’t Have All the Facts

Annie Duke
Author and Former Professional Poker Player​

Paul Sullivan, Moderator
Wealth Matters Columnist
New York Times

  • How probabilistic thinking can help you make better choices based on lessons learned from the intersection of poker and cognitive science
  • Separate skill and luck in order to make better, more impartial life decisions.
  • Learn how to think through competing viewpoints before making a final decision and how not to engage in “resulting”—conflating outcomes with the decisions leading up to the outcome.
  • How to refocus away from black and white thinking and learn to think in probabilities, taking uncertainty and unpredictability into account in order to make better decisions